NBA Fast Break Run 6 | Day 7

Fast BreakStandardNBA TopShotNBA2024-2025 NBA SeasonRun 6
Written By Witty

Pick 5 Players who will combine for 15 Three Pointers Made and 25 Three Point Attempts to earn your win.

Overview:

We’ve officially reached the midway point of this run as we’ve completed six days and have six more after today. After another strong day where 89% of Fast Break participants earned a win, the majority are five or less wins away from the nine-win reward. Chris Paul was used in a whopping 82% of lineups and brought honor to his name as he contributed 14 assists (56% of the objective) and 4 steals (80% of the objective), which earned him the Fast Break Stud of the Day. Every one of the top five players used in lineups had at least one steal and chipped in some assists, so there were no duds on Day 6. Day 7 is likely going to be a different story though.

We are up to 7,700 participants and it doesn’t seem likely we’ll set a new high watermark. With seven days remaining in this run, that participation number may tick up to the 9,000 mark as it has the previous run or least come close to it. Of the participants, there remains 26 perfect records. Without further ado, let’s see today’s projections and stats.

Today’s Objective(s):

Fast Break Day 7 requires five (5) players who will sink 15.0 or more three pointers and attempt 25.0 or more three pointers, which means your lineup will need to average 3.0 3PM and 5.0 3PA per player. These two stats are fully correlated - you can’t make a three without attempting a three, so the second objective is more a formality than hindrance. Looking at the top five players utilized in lineups, there is commonality amongst the top three, but falls off precipitously thereafter. This feels like a sneaky difficult day as your high-end three point shooters have shown they are capable of off-days as each one has had multiple games with 2 or less three pointers in multiple games over their last 10. Hopefully you’ll have at least one player who exceeds 3.0 3PM to cover for any underperformers.

  • Outside Snipers: Stephen Curry, Donovan Mitchell, Norman Powell, Jordan Poole

  • Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: D. Mitchell (68%), N. Powell (53%), S. Curry (53%), C. White (36%), K. Thompson (35%)

Looking Ahead:

  • Tomorrow, 45 rebounds are needed and there are 12 teams in action

  • Objectives (after today): +/-, OREB, AST-TO, PTS, REB, BLK, FGM, PIP, STL

Considerations:

  • Phoenix has the least number of games remaining (2)

  • Thirteen (13) teams have the most games remaining (4)

  • No teams are playing the tail end of a back-to-back

  • Each day, there are at least 10 teams in action

  • Both +/- and AST-TO make an appearance in Run 6 (Day 10 & 13)

  • Day 10 & Day 13 are looking to be the most challenging of this run

  • 8 of 13 days have two objectives; 5 have a single objective

Statistical Approach:

Top players in projected three pointers made & attempted according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.

Run 6 Rewards:

  • Daily Reward: Top 250 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit

  • Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, 9, or 13 wins and each tier earns you a pack

    • 3 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack

    • 6 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack

    • 9 wins: Fast Break pack

    • 13 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack

  • Run Reward: Place in the top 500 overall

    • 1st Place: $5,000 Top Shot Credit

    • 2nd Place: $1,000 Top Shot Credit

    • 3rd Place: $500 Top Shot Credit

    • 4-500th: $5-25 Top Shot Credit

Additional Resources:

Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 6 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):

Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.

Four wins in a row! Day 7 feels like a sleeper difficult day, but hoping for five wins in a row which gives us more of a chance at hitting that nine-win mark.

The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.

Projected Three Pointers Made

Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+

Projected 3PM & 3PA

NBA Fast Break Grid

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December 2024 Promotion:

If you subscribe to tome+ in the month of December and your order number ends in either a zero or a five (ex: #120, #125, #130), you’ll receive a Rare NBA Top Shot moment of your choosing valued up to $10.00 (valid through December 31, 2024).

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Witty
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NBA Fast Break Run 6 | Day 8
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