NBA Fast Break Run 6 | Day 1
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 15 Three Pointers Made and 130 Points Scored to earn your win.
Overview:
As one Fast Break run ends, another begins. Along with that, a fresh start with aspirations to place in the top 500 while possibly claiming the coveted top prize. Day 1 is no gimme as Points Scored & Three Pointers Made are needed to earn a win today. As there will be no games scheduled tomorrow, December 24th, 28 of 30 teams will be in action so your options are bountiful. This is the time of the run where you look ahead and plan the rest of your run to ensure you are not hamstringing yourself by using the best of the best (especially if you’re limited on plays based on your collection).
Keep in mind the NBA Top Shot holiday festivities begin today, so be sure to keep an eye out for announcements to avoid missing out on different opportunities. One of the more prominent opportunities is the ability to trade any NBA rare moment in exchange for $10 Top Shot Credit and any NBA Legendary moment traded for $100 Top Shot Credit. Now this doesn’t make sense for your high-end rares and legendaries, but if there are any in your collection you don’t love and they’re low value, it is an opportunity to trade up your collection. Also if you are so inclined, you can find both NBA rare & legendary moments under those thresholds which gives you an ability to earn a slight arbitrage by buying and trading rare/legendary moments (ex: buy rare moment on flowty.io for $9.30, trade in the same rare moment for $10.00 Top Shot credit, and receive $0.70 profit for your effort).
Otherwise, you can focus your attention on today’s Fast Break objective and the fresh 13-day run.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 1 requires five (5) players who will make 15.0 three pointers and score 130 or points, which means your lineup will need to average 3.0 3PM & 26.0 PTS per player. Based on prior series, 10.0 three pointers and 125.0 points scored are needed, but both are a tad higher for Day 1 which likely means a challenging day for about half the population. Considering today’s objectives, you will need to decide which stat to prioritize as there aren’t many players who can score 30+ points and make 3+ three pointers on any given night. Some may choose to include Giannis for the points, but slot in Steph Curry for three pointers. Others may choose to utilize three-point shooting high scorers with the hopes today will not be an off day.
Little of Both: Luka Doncic, LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards
Buckets from Outside: LaMelo Ball, Anthony Edwards, Stephen Curry, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell
Buckets in General: Giannis Antetokounmpo
Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: L. Ball (82%), J. Tatum (73%), A. Edwards (72%), T. Herro (50%), S. Curry (42%)
Looking Ahead:
On December 25th (no games tomorrow), Day 2 requires 40 rebounds & 4 blocks; there are 10 teams in action
Objectives (after today):
2x: REB, FGM, BLK, STL, PIP
1x: FGA, AST, 3PA, +/-, OREB, AST-TO, 3PM, PTS
Considerations:
Every team has between 6-8 games scheduled
There are no games scheduled tomorrow (December 24th)
Each day, there are at least 10 teams in action
Both +/- and AST-TO make an appearance in Run 6 (Day 10 & 13)
Day 10 & Day 13 are looking to be the most challenging of this run
8 of 13 days have two objectives; 5 have a single objective
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected three pointers made & points scored according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Run 6 Rewards (Preview):
Daily Reward: Top 250 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit
Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, 9, or 13 wins and each tier earns you a pack
3 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
6 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
9 wins: Fast Break pack
13 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 500 overall
1st Place: $5,000 Top Shot Credit
2nd Place: $1,000 Top Shot Credit
3rd Place: $500 Top Shot Credit
4-100th: $25-250 Top Shot Credit
101-200th: $10 Top Shot Credit
201-500th: $5 Top Shot Credit
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective (in progress for Run 6)
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 12/20/2024)
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 6 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Fresh start. Fresh opportunity to reach that 9-win reward. Blanks will be filled out before the first tip.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.
Projected Three Pointers Made
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
Projected Points Scored
Projected 3PM & PTS
NBA Fast Break Grid
Support us by:
Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
Following us on Twitter/X: @TomeCollective and @WittyCollector
Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
December 2024 Promotion:
If you subscribe to tome+ in the month of December and your order number ends in either a zero or a five (ex: #120, #125, #130), you’ll receive a Rare NBA Top Shot moment of your choosing valued up to $10.00 (valid through December 31, 2024).
Aren’t able to pay a monthly fee? Check back next month when we bring back the ‘Moment for Subscription’ offer. If, however, you own a Tome NFT on flowty.io, you can sign up for one month of tome+ in exchange for one (1) 2024-2025 rookie moment, which can be sent to TS: TomeCollective. This promotion ends on December 31, 2024.