NBA Fast Break Run 4 | Day 8
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 12 Offensive Rebounds and 12 Three Pointers Made to earn your win.
Overview:
Joker contributed another triple-double in Denver’s loss to Cleveland including 20 rebounds and 11 assists - that’s 50% of the rebound objective yesterday and 31% of the assists. Selecting Day 7’s Fast Break Stud of the Day was a no-brainer - Nikola Jokic, take a bow. On the other end, Ja Morant contributed 7 assists and 3 rebounds while getting ejected in the 4th quarter after he argued about a soft foul and was given his second technical. Not an awful contribution considering the objectives on the day, but he certainly underperformed the other top five utilized players (two contributed 10+ for one objective and the other two contributed 10+ for both objectives). So, Ja earns the not-so-coveted Fast Break Dud of the Day.
Day 7 saw a 57% win rate across all participants which were likely carried by Joker and those who came away short of the goal likely lost it on assists. Of the ~7,900 participants this run, we lost 8 perfect records yesterday and are down to 34 who are still in the running for the trip to Paris. Considering the difficulty of Day 8, we will likely see a significant drop in perfect records. For everyone else, there remains an opportunity to get into the top 500 for the run-based reward - especially after today if you pull off the win. Tinker with your lineup using the projections and data below and hopefully you’ll walk away with another win.
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Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 8 requires five (5) players who will gather 12 offensive rebounds and sink 12 or more three pointers made, which means your lineup will need to average 2.4 OREB & 2.4 3PM per player. Considering the number of injuries and game time decisions across the league, it is unsurprising the wide disparity of players being used in lineups today. By comparison, Joker & Luka were the top two used on Day 7 (69% & 68%) and today it is Markkanen & Vucevic (41% & 38%). Although more and more bigs are shooting from outside, there are still few who do so at a high rate. It also means that if they’re shooting, they are usually out of position for an offensive rebound. So, you’ll likely have a mix of dual threat players and players who are proficient in one objective or the other.
Although Jeremy Sochan has been back for two games, he’s had 7 and 6 offensive rebounds in those two games. If he repeats that performance today, that would account for close to 50% of today’s target. Clint Capela, however, has had the highest offensive rebounds average the past 10 games at 4.4. On the three pointer side, Steph is going to be highly used…if he plays (he sat out yesterday). Ant, Hali, and Dame would be others who have a high volume of three pointers. Over the last 10 games, Jared McCain has also had strong numbers from outside. Long story short, today is arguably the most challenging in this run and it will likely have the widest range of lineup mixes this run. It’ll be interesting to see which lineup comes up on top.
Little of Both: Victor Wembanyama, Lauri Markkanen, Nikola Vucevic, Jaylen Brown
(Offensive) Glass Cleaners: Walker Kessler, Rudy Gobert, Clint Capela, Domantas Sabonis
Long Range Snipers: Anthony Edwards, Stephen Curry, Tyrese Haliburton, Damian Lillard, Devin Vassell
Top Five (5) Players in Lineups: L. Markkanen (41%), N. Vucevic (38%), D. Sabonis (32%), R. Gobert (30%), K. Looney (25%)
Upcoming Objective(s):
Tomorrow, 125 points scored will be the single objective and there are 14 teams in action
Remaining objectives after today: PTS, FGM, BLK, REB, AST
Considerations:
Chicago, Golden State, San Antonio, & Sacramento are playing the tail end of a back-to-back today
Day 11 has only two (2) teams in action
Six (6) teams have one (1) game remaining (refer to the Fast Break Grid)
All other teams have two (2) games remaining
Boston, Dallas, Detroit, & Oklahoma City’s last game is tomorrow (Day 9)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected offensive rebounds & three pointers made according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 100 each day will receive a Fast Break Rookie Debut pack
Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack
3 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
6 wins: Three (3) Grail Seeker packs
9 wins: Fast Break pack
11 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 500 overall
Rank 1: Two (2) tickets to the NBA game in Paris, France including airfare and hotel
Rank 2-500: Spendable credit at varying values
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 12/05/2024)
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as Tome Society participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Back on track! Joker and Luka carried us to a win. By the time the last game tipped off, we were clear of today’s objective and secured the win. It feels nice to have a green dot so early in the night. Today’s objectives are a bit nerve-wracking considering 12 offensive rebounds AND 12 three pointers. We’ve made some adjustments to our lineup the rest of the way based on injuries. Should Steph suit up, we will swap out Buddy.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.
Projected Offensive Rebounds
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
Projected Three Pointers Made
Projected OREB & 3PM
NBA Fast Break Grid
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