NBA Fast Break Run 4 | Day 2
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 30 Rebounds and 35 Points in the Paint to earn your win.
Overview:
If today foreshadows what we should anticipate for Run 4, we are all in for a bumpy ride. As over 60% of lineups used SGA and/or Fox, it came down to the final quarter and the final five minutes of their respective games before we started to see the number of winners begin to rise. At one point in the 4th quarter, there were under 300 total winners, which ballooned to 2,878 as SGA and Fox scored a few more points. Since SGA scored one more point than Jayson Tatum, he earns the Fast Break Stud of the Day as he delivered 36 points, which made up for an abundance of dud performances.
With LaMelo out of the lineup, Brandon Miller was poised (and projected) to have a big day and put up 25 shots against the Knicks…but he only hit 28% of them and ended with 20 points. This mirrored Fox and Ant’s performance on the day also, so there were plenty of underwhelming performances across the league yesterday. But the Fast Break Dud of the Day Award goes to Donovan Mitchell who contributed only 12 points on the day where his Cavaliers lost to the Atlanta Hawks…again. That’s 2 of 3 total losses on the season the Trae Young & company. Since Mitchell was included in 46% of lineups, he was likely the the most responsible for the high number of losses on Day 1 which also knocks over 3,000 participants out of the “perfect” pack running.
Tome Collective Promotions:
Note: We will be rebranding from ‘Tome Society’ to ‘Tome Collective’ on December 1st, 2024 based on an adjustment in the creative direction of this brand. We have already updated our Dapper and social handle ahead of the change, but you will begin to notice updates throughout.
In celebration of our re-brand, we will have a series of promotions throughout December 2024:
We will give away one (1) NBA League Pass at the end of Fast Break Run 4 (US only based on NBA League Pass promotion limitation) or $50.00 flowty.io shopping spree as an alternative option. All active tome+ subscribers as of December 11, 2024 will be eligible.
Beginning today, if you subscribe to tome+ and your order number ends in either a zero or a five (ex: #100, #105, #110), you’ll receive a Rare NBA Top Shot moment of your choosing valued up to $10.00 (valid through December 31, 2024).
Note: the last order as of yesterday ended in the number 6.
If you own a ‘Tome Society’ NFT on flowty.io, you can sign up for one month of tome+ in exchange for one (1) 2024-2025 rookie moment (active subscribers as of November 29, 2024 are ineligible). Note: these NFTs will be replaced in the future with ‘Tome Collective’ art via an airdrop.
Want an alternative option for a tome+ membership? Follow @TomeCollective on X for upcoming promotions. Otherwise, check back next month when we bring back our ‘Moments for Tome+’ promotion.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 2 requires five (5) players who gather 30 or more Rebounds and score 35 or more Points in the Paint, which means your lineup will need to average 6.0 REB & 7.0 PIP per player. Considering these two stats are correlated, you should not have any issues identifying a lineup who can easily achieve today’s goal. Although it’s not a guaranteed surefire win, it will be one of the easier days this run.
Let’s jump into today’s objectives and the best players for each and overall.
Little of Both: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jalen Johnson, John Collins, Walker Kessler
Board Crashers: Walker Kessler, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jusuf Nurkic, Jalen Duren, P.J. Washington, John Collins, Jalen Johnson, Clint Capela, Jonas Valanciunas
Bucket Getters in the Paint: Walker Kessler, Daniel Gafford, Damian Lillard
Top Five (5) Players in Lineups: C. Capela (62%), J. Johnson (54%), G. Antetokounmpo (53%), K. Durant (44%), W. Kessler (38%)
Upcoming Objective(s):
Tomorrow, 15 three pointers & 25 assists will be the two (2) objectives and there will be a robust twenty (20) teams in action
Remaining objectives after today:
3x: AST
2x: 3PM, BLK, FGM, REB
1x: FGA, STL, +/-, OREB, PTS
Considerations:
Atlanta, Charlotte, & Detroit are playing the tail end of a back-to-back today
Day 4 has only eight (8) teams in action
Day 6 has the extra elusive Plus/Minus objective
Day 8 will be one of the most challenging days this run as it requires OREB & 3PM
Day 11 has only two (2) teams in action
There are eight (8) teams with four (4) games remaining (refer to the Fast Break Grid)
All other teams have five (5) games remaining
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected Rebounds & Points in the Paint according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 100 each day will receive a Fast Break Rookie Debut pack
Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, or 9 wins and each tier earns you a pack
3 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
6 wins: Three (3) Grail Seeker packs
9 wins: Fast Break pack
11 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 500 overall
Rank 1: Two (2) tickets to the NBA game in Paris, France including airfare and hotel
Rank 2-500: Spendable credit at varying values
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 11/27/2024)
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as Tome Society participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
New run, same Day 1 result…a fat L. In Run 3, we started slow and lost two straight before rattling off ten straight wins. Let’s hope for a similar trajectory (aside for the Day 2 loss). Based on the objectives, I’m feeling good about Day 2.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.
Projected Rebounds
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
Projected Points in the Paint
Projected REB & PIP
NBA Fast Break Grid
Support us by:
Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
Following us on Twitter/X: @TomeCollective and @WittyCollector
Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
Aren’t able to pay a monthly fee? Currently, there is a promotion available for a one (1) month subscription in exchange for any one (1) WNBA or NBA Rare moment sent to TS: TomeCollective. This promotion ends on November 30, 2024.
