Pick 5 Players who will combine for 5 Blocks and 40 Points in the Paint to earn your win.

Recap & Overview:

Tyrese Haliburton was one of the big reasons why the Pacers beat Chicago yesterday as he contributed 13 assists and 2 steals, which also helped 39% of lineups for Fast Break. On a day where steals did not come from many of the players who were projected to have at least one, Haliburton’s two were a big deal and likely contributed to the a large portion of the 42% of Day 3 participants who earned a win. For this performance, he is your Fast Break Stud of the Day. On the other end of the spectrum, James Harden was utilized in 72% of lineups and only contributed 4 assists and no steals, which contributed to the LA Clippers blowout loss to a Jokic-less Denver Nuggets. Ouch. For his forgettable performance, Harden is your Fast Break Dud of the Day.

There remains over 1,000 Fast Break participants who remain perfect through three days of this Fast Break run. In Fast Break Run 6, it took all of a day to drop under 100 perfect records which is much faster than what we’re seeing in Run 7. Inevitably, that number will erode away as the series progresses and we’ll see fewer and fewer with each passing day. Slow and steady wins the long-term race…unless you are really gunning for a top 25 finish each night. If your NBA Top Shot collection is limited and/or you don’t have many/any rares or above, be sure to check the Tome Collective common challenge segment below as it maps out the remainder of the run, progress toward the win objectives, and any adjustments based on injuries or better stats. Feel free to use it as a reference or starting point for your own lineup selections.

Today’s Objective(s):

Fast Break Day 4 requires five (5) players who will accumulate 5.0 or more blocks and score 40.0 or more points in the paint, which means your lineup will need to average 1.0 BLK & 8.0 PIP per player. Yesterday was a day for guards whereas today, you’ll have a heavy tilt toward the forwards and centers as they have a higher chance at getting you both blocks and points in the paint. Yes, you can go with some slashers to get you the points in the paint, but that’ll put you at risk at missing the blocks objective unless you’re confident one of your other players can get you multiple blocks to cover the difference. Ideally, you’ll select five players who has the potential to get you multiple blocks while scoring on the other end of the court.

Little of Both: Jaren Jackson, Evan Mobley, Amen Thompson
Shot Blockers: Walker Kessler, Dereck Lively, Goga Bitadze, Jaren Jackson, Amen Thompson, Evan Mobley, Rudy Gobert, Jakob Poeltl
Inside Scorers: Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant, Jaren Jackson, Evan Mobley, Cade Cunningham, Deandre Ayton, Bam Adebayo, Trayce Jackson-Davis, Jarrett Allen, Amen Thompson, Devin Booker, RJ Barrett
Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: E. Mobley (72%), J. Jackson (65%), A. Davis (54%), J. Poeltl (53%), G. Bitadze (47%)

Looking Ahead:

Tomorrow, 15 three pointers made out of 25 three point attempts are the two objectives; there are 14 teams in action
Objectives Breakdown (after today):
- 3x: 3PM
- 2x: 3PA, PTS, REB, AST
- 1x: OREB, FGA, FGM, STL, PIP, BLK

Considerations:

All teams have five or six games remaining over the next 11 game days
Cleveland, Detroit, Portland, and Toronto are playing the tail end of a back-to-back
After today, 3 of the 10 remaining days have a single objective & 7 of 10 have two objectives
Charlotte, Dallas, Memphis, New Orleans, New York, Toronto, and Utah’s last game this run is on Day 12
Day 11 has the least number of teams in action (10)

Statistical Approach:

Top players in projected blocks & points in the paint according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.

Run 7 Rewards:

Daily Reward: Top 25 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit
Milestone Reward: Reach 4, 7, 11, or 14 wins and each tier earns you a pack
- 4 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
- 7 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
- 11 wins: Fast Break pack
- 14 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 25 overall
- 1st Place: $5,000 Top Shot Credit
- 2nd Place: $2,500 Top Shot Credit
- 3rd Place: $1,000 Top Shot Credit
- 4-10th: $500 Top Shot Credit
- 11-25th: $250 Top Shot Credit

Additional Resources:

Rules & Rewards Overview
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective (updated for Run 7)
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 01/03/2025)

Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 7 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):

Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.

It looked as though we were going to come up a steal shy of earning our second win until Chris Paul picked up a steal in the 4th quarter. Survived another day and onward to Day 4.

The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.

Projected Blocks

Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+

Projected Points in the Paint

Projected BLK & PIP

NBA Fast Break Grid

Support us by:

Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
Following us on Twitter/X: @TomeCollective and @WittyCollector
Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
Be a holder of the Tome Society Collection on flowty.io which will be updated to reflect the updated branding; there will be some exciting perks for holders (information will come soon)

January 2025 Promotions (3):

Send any rare NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for a month access to tome+.
Send any legendary NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for lifetime access to tome+.
Be a paid subscriber as of tome+ as of January 31, 2025 and you’ll be airdropped a random serial from the updated Tome Collective Collection on flowty.

NBA Fast Break Run 7 | Day 4