NBA Fast Break Historic | Run 4 | Day 4
Today’s Objective(s): 12 Assists minus Turnovers
Overview:
Day: 4 of 13
Objective(s): 12 Assists minus Turnovers (2.4 AST-TO)
Top Player Options:
Distributes the Ball; Protects the Ball:
S Tier (averaged 5.0+ AST-TO): Ricky Rubio, Maurice Cheeks, Jose Calderon, Deron Williams
A Tier (averaged 2.4+ AST-TO): Baron Davis, John Wall, Michael Cooper, Danny Ainge, Larry Bird, Jarrett Jack, Monta Ellis, Gordon Hayward, Austin Rivers
Top Five (5) Players in Historic Lineups: D. Williams (87%) | J. Jack (49%) | A. Rivers (47%) | G. Hayward (42%) | D. Ainge (38%)
Upcoming Fast Break Objectives:
Objectives remaining (after today):
2x: 3PM, 3PA, FGM, FGA, AST, REB
1x: OREB, STL, PTS
Tomorrow’s Objective(s): 15 Three Pointers Made & 25 Three Point Attempts (3.0 3PM & 5.0 3PA)
Considerations:
Houston has the least number of games remaining (3)
LA Lakers, Miami, New York, Orlando, San Antonio, & Toronto could have an extra game if they win their first NBA Cup matchup
LA Clippers & Milwaukee has the most number of games remaining (6)
Miami could have up to seven games remaining (if they win their NBA Cup Quarterfinals matchup)
The dreaded AST-TO lands on Day 4 (today)
The four teams playing on Day 13 will depend on the results of Day 9’s NBA Cup results
The only day this run with more than 20 teams in action is Day 5 (tomorrow)
Day 8-11 & 13 have less than 8 or less teams in action, so your player options are more limited
Statistical Approach:
Top players in assists minus turnovers according to Rotowire & nbatopshot.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on average results (across multiple historic runs), which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the data points are still used to stack rank the players. For tome+ members, all active player stats are available in the provided data file.
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Top Player Options for Fast Break:
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: nbatopshot.com & tomecollective.com, 2025.
Projected AST-TO
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NBA Fast Break Grid
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