NBA Fast Break Historic | Run 3 | Day 5

Today’s Objective(s): 100 Points Scored & 40 Field Goals Made

Overview:

Day 4 marked the fourth straight day where over 50% of Historic Fast Break participants earned a win and established the high watermark of this run with a 93% success rate. As we have reached the midway point of this run, player availability will start to become more strained - especially at the top of the house. This is where the data will set you apart from the pack as many will rely on career averages instead of run-based stats.

Dwight Howard led the way in both career and run-based yesterday as he was the most utilized player and delivered 18 rebounds with 6 offensive rebounds. This accounted for 40% of the required rebounds and 60% of the needed offensive rebounds. With his performance, he earned the Fast Break Stud of the Day.

DeMarcus Cousins had the lowest output, but he wasn’t grossly below the threshold. Everyone else had at least 10 rebounds to their tally. As such, there was no Duds yesterday.

Tome+ members: the dedicated data article for NBA Fast Break Historical edition includes the full data set of the 150 active players’ career average in the Historical mode, their progressive series average, and top offenses and top defenses.

Overview:

  • Day: 5 of 10

  • Objective(s): 100 Points Scored & 40 Field Goals Made (20.0 PTS & 8.0 FGM)

Top Player Options:

Little of both:

  • S Tier (averaging 25.0+ PTS & 12.0+ FGM): Alex English, Allen Iverson, James Worthy, Karl Malone, Dominique Wilkins, Serge Ibaka

  • A Tier (averaging 25.0+ PTS & 8.0+ FGM): Zach Randolph, Larry Bird, Gilbert Arenas, Blake Griffin, Danilo Gallinari

  • B Tier (averaging 20.0+ PTS & 8.0+ FGM): Baron Davis, Glenn Robinson, Hakeem Olajuwon, Jamal Mashburn, Patrick Ewing, David Robinson, Tim Hardaway, Richard Hamilton, Clyde Drexler, Dirk Nowitzki, Grant Hill, Alonzo Mourning, Luol Deng, DeMarcus Cousins, Kevin Garnett, Zydrunas Ilgauskas, Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, Kemba Walker, Chris Bosh, Wally Szczerbiak, Walter Davis, Mark Price, Brandon Roy, Larry Johnson, Chuck Person

Top Five (5) Players in Pro Lineups: P. Pierce (46%) | D. Nowitzki (45%) | T. McGrady (36%) | A. Iverson (27%) | S. Marbury (26%)

Upcoming Fast Break Objectives:

  • Next Objective (tomorrow): 20 Assists & 5 Steals (4.0 AST & 1.0 STL)

  • Remaining Objectives (after today):

    • 2x: REB

    • 1x: FGA, AST, 3PM, BLK, STL, OREB, PTS, FGM

Statistical Approach:

Top players in projected points & field goals made according to nbatopshot.com and aggregated data by Tome Collective, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on season averages, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the single data point is used to stack rank the players as there are no reliable projections for simulated games.


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Top Player Options for Fast Break:

The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: nbatopshot.com & tomecollective.com, 2025.

Projected Points Scored

Projected Field Goals Made

Projected PTS & FGM


NBA Fast Break Grid

Current Rosters:


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WNBA Fast Break Classic |2025 Playoffs | Day 6