NBA Fast Break Historic | Run 2 | Day 2
Today’s Objective(s): 25 Assists & 5 Steals
Overview:
Today is the second day of the historical Fast Break Run 2. After the first day, no team reached 100 points or more and 20 scored 80 points or less. It is too early to draw specific conclusions about scoring and stats, but yesterday could be a precursor to a broader trend where the algorithm adjusted the expected outcomes.
Since we have at least one (1) day of data, we were able to rank players based on both their Day 1 stats and their career average to identify the top players for today.
Tome+ members: the dedicated data article for NBA Fast Break Historical edition includes the full data set of the 150 active players’ career average in the Historical mode, their progressive series average, and top offenses and top defenses.
Overview:
Day: 2 of 10
Objective(s): 25 Assists & 5 Steals (5.0 AST & 1.0 STL)
Top Player Options:
Distributors:
S Tier (7.0+ on Day 1 & Career): Deron Williams, Jason Kidd, Ricky Rubio, Maurice Cheeks, Stephon Marbury
A Tier (5.0-6.9): Spud Webb, Steve Francis, Ty Lawson, Avery Johnson, Jose Calderon, Sam Cassell, Tim Hardaway, John Wall, Mike Bibby, Mark Price
Thieves:
S Tier (3.0+ on Day 1 & high career average): Trevor Ariza, Eddie Jones, Tim Hardaway, Karl Malone, Gerald Wallace, Caron Butler
A Tier (2.0-2.9): Grant Hill, Tracy McGrady, Patrick Ewing, Antoine Walker, Mike Bibby, Rashard Lewis, James Worthy, Cliff Robinson, Jason Kidd, Larry Bird, John Wall, Chris Mullin, Anfernee Hardaway, Shawn Marion, Gilbert Arenas, Steve Francis, Latrell Sprewell, Tony Allen, Dominique Wilkins, Ben Wallace, Kevin Garnett
Top Five (5) Players in Pro Lineups: J. Wall (78%) | R. Rubio (72%) | J. Kidd (68%) | D. Williams (49%) | S. Marbury (40%)
Upcoming Fast Break Objectives:
Objectives Remaining (after today):
3x: FGM
2x: REB, BLK, PTS, 3PM
1x: OREB, BLK, FGA, AST, STL
Next Objective (tomorrow): 45 Rebounds & 5 Blocks (9.0 REB & 1.0 BLK)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected assists & steals according to nbatopshot.com and aggregated data by Tome Collective, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on season averages, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the single data point is used to stack rank the players as there are no reliable projections for simulated games.
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Top Player Options for Fast Break:
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: nbatopshot.com & tomecollective.com, 2025.
Projected Assists
Projected Steals
Projected AST & STL
NBA Fast Break Grid
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