NBA Fast Break Run 11 | Day 6
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 125 Points Scored to earn your win.
Recap & Overview:
Of the eight remaining days of this run, there are two layups (assists tomorrow and points in the paint and offensive rebounds on March 14th). The other six (including today) have auras of uncertainty based on outcomes. Day 1’s points scored objective turned out to be very easy as multiple players scored 35+ which covered the deficits caused by any underperformance including SGA’s 41 where he was used in 83% of lineups. That’s not the case this time around as the highest utilized player is Devin Booker who’s projected to score 24.2 points today. Unless we see another scoring outburst across the games today, anticipate a much lower win rate.
After yesterday’s 32% win rate, we are down to 508 remaining perfect records which is better than the past couple runs where we saw a massive drop off after a couple tough first days. De’Aaron Fox was utilized in 21% of lineups in hopes he would continue swiping…but he delivered no steals and no blocks - the only player in the top five without either, so he is your unanimous Fast Break Dud of the Day. On the other hand, Evan Mobley had 1 block and 3 steals, which earned him the Fast Break Stud of the Day. Honorable mention goes to Isaiah Stewart with 5 blocks and Chet Holmgren with 4 blocks.
With 24 teams in action today, you have plenty of options. The challenge though is utilizing the players who are either the first or second scoring option, or find some luck in utilizing a player who has a hot hand while avoiding those who have abysmal scoring days. With that said, let’s dive into today’s objective.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 6 requires five (5) players who will score 125.0 or more points, which means your lineup will need to average 25.0 PTS per player. Day 1 required 125.0 points scored and 91% earned a win as multiple players scored 35+ points including Harden’s 50, SGA’s 41, Cade’s 37, and more. This will be the second iteration of the 125.0 points scored objective and the success rate will inevitably be much lower. Of the players in action today, SGA is the only one who is both projected to deliver a strong performance and has done so over his last 10 games. With LeBron sidelined, Luka is to be the primary scorer for the Lakers and could be a decent back-up option if SGA is unavailable in your lineup. Tatum, Steph, and Joker are also decent options considering their points scored in their and last 10.
Scoring Machines: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jayson Tatum, Stephen Curry, Luka Doncic
Top Five (5) Players in Classic Lineups: D. Booker (71%), K. Durant (57%), N. Jokic (50%), F. Wagner (41%), SGA (39%)
Pro Mode Limitations: Top Shot Debut
Looking Ahead:
Tomorrow, 25 AST will be the single objective; only 8 teams in action
Objectives frequency (after today):
2x: PIP, FGM
1x: REB, PTS, OREB, FGA, 3PM, 3PA, BLK, STL, AST
Considerations:
Cleveland has the least number of games remaining (3)
Thirteen (13) teams have the most number of games remaining (5)
Ten (10) teams are playing the tail-end game of a back-to-back today
Day 7 (Mar 11th) & Day 9 (Mar 13th) have the least number of teams in action (8 & 10 respectively), so your lineup options will be more limited on these days
Day 10 & 13 have the most teams in action (20+), so your lineup options will be the most expansive
Boston’s last game this run lands on Day 11
5 of the remaining 8 days will have a single objective (or resembles a single objective)
Assists minus turnovers & +/- are not included as objectives again
Pro mode has additional limitations on Day 8 (Throwdown Rare), Day 10 (Metallic Gold Rare), & Day 13 (For the Win Rare)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected points scored according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Run 11 Classic Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 435 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit (refer to graphic below)
Milestone Reward: Reach 4, 7, 11, or 13 wins and each tier earns you a pack
4, 7, & 11 wins: One (1) Fast Break Pack (per tier)
13 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 1,500 overall to receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit (refer to graphic below)
Additional Links & Resources:
nbatopshot.com/fastbreak - set your lineup
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective (updated for Run 11)
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices
NBA version updated as of Feb. 27th; WNBA version updated as of Feb. 10th
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 11 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Back on track with a win, but only barely. It wasn’t looking good going into the final game, but Camara came through with a block and two steals. We have eight days to go and we’ll need to win seven of them for our stretch goal, but we are only three wins from our primary objective.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2025.
Projected Points Scored
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
NBA Fast Break Grid
Support us by:
Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
Following us on Twitter/X: @TomeCollective and @WittyCollector
Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
Be a holder of the Tome Society Collection on flowty.io which will be updated to reflect the updated branding; there will be some exciting perks for holders (information will come soon)
March 2025 Promotions (3):
Send any rare NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for two (2) months of access to tome+.
Send any legendary NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for lifetime access to tome+.