NBA Fast Break Run 10 | Day 1
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 35 Field Goals Made to earn your win.
Overview:
As one Fast Break run ends, another begins - but this time with elevated rewards and the introduction of a Pro mode. The top prize in the Classic Mode is a 2025 Kia Telluride - the biggest grand prize to date (MSRP is about $46,000) with most of the other rewards staying the same including daily rewards, win-based rewards, and run-based rewards. With the addition of a Pro Mode, it comes with a separate set of daily and run-based rewards including the opportunity to earn Holo Icon, Metallic Gold LE, and Throwdown rare packs along with Dapper credits. The stipulation, though, are the introduction of daily limiters like Top Shot debut moments, rookie year moments, and MGLE moments which adds a wrinkle to the strategic approach to planning & collecting.
With the lengthier run, your lineups will likely be strained unless you have an extensive collection so planning ahead will be key to your success. On the plus side, the dreaded assists minus turnovers and +/- were excluded this run, but there are plenty of tricky days ahead.
If you are a tome+ subscriber, Witty’s Cheat Sheet has been updated for Run 10 which gives you an advantage to mapping out your lineups for this run. Alternatively, you can follow along with the Common Challenge we implement each run if you have a limited Top Shot collection and do not many/any rares or legendaries. Use the resources at your disposal and start this run with a win.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 1 requires five (5) players who will make 35.0 or more field goals, which means your lineup will need to average 7.0 FGM per player. As there is only one objective today and only one game on today’s slate, your options are very limited and there will be a lot of overlap amongst lineups. Beyond today, planning ahead will be vital to your success in Run 10 - especially with the elevated rewards.
Shooters Shoot:
Tier 1: LeBron James
Tier 2: Miles Bridges, Luka Doncic, Rui Hachimura, LaMelo Ball
Tier 3: Mark Williams, Nick Smith, Damion Baugh
Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: L. Ball (86%), M. Bridges (83%), L. Doncic (79%), A. Reaves (69%), L. James (54%)
Looking Ahead:
Tomorrow, 15 3PM & 25 3PA will be the two objectives; 18 teams in action
Objectives frequency (after today):
3x: 3PM
2x: 3PA, AST, REB, PTS, BLK, STL, FGM, PIP
1x: FGA, OREB
Considerations:
Assists minus turnovers & +/- are not included as objectives for Run 10
Sacramento has the least number of games this run (5)
Charlotte, LA Lakers, Phoenix, & San Antonio have the most number of games this run (8)
Day 4 & 9 only have 10 teams in action, so your lineup options will be more limited on these days
Day 5 & 10 have the most teams in action (20), so your lineup options will be more expansive
Half the days this run will have a single objective (or resembles a single objective)
Pro mode has additional limitations on Day 2 (MGLE), Day 5 (TSD badge), Day 8 (Rookie year badge), Day 10 (TSD badge), and Day 12 (Rookie year badge)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected field goals made according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Run 10 Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 435 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit (refer to graphic below)
Milestone Reward: Reach 4, 7, 11, or 14 wins and each tier earns you a pack
4, 7, & 11 wins: One (1) Fast Break Pack (per tier)
14 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 1,500 overall to receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit (refer to graphic below)
Top Prize is a 2025 Kia Telluride
Classic Mode Rewards:
Pro Mode Rewards:
Additional Links & Resources:
nbatopshot.com/fastbreak - set your lineup
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices
NBA version updated as of Feb. 9th; WNBA version updated as of Feb. 10th
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 10 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
To fill each slot where each option is utilized only once, we needed 70 unique players. Considering the high probability of injuries or scratches, we’ll need to be nimble and move players around as the days unfold. This is our starting point, but we’ll notate changes as they occur. Goal is the mid-tier pack with a stretch goal of 11 wins.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2025.
Projected Field Goals Made
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
NBA Fast Break Grid
Support us by:
Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
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Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
Be a holder of the Tome Society Collection on flowty.io which will be updated to reflect the updated branding; there will be some exciting perks for holders (information will come soon)
February 2025 Promotions (3):
Send any ten (10) NBA Top Shot moments to TS: TomeCollective for one (1) month of access to tome+.
Send any rare NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for two (2) months of access to tome+.
Send any legendary NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for lifetime access to tome+.
