NBA Fast Break Run 6 | Day 11
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 5 Blocks and 5 Steals to earn your win.
Recap & Overview:
Oklahoma City players thrived in today’s challenge as they took care of business against the LA Clippers and won by 18 (which was closer at the half). Jalen Williams was used in 26% of lineups and delivered 8 FGM & +33, which means he’s your Fast Break Stud of the Day. Of the top five players in lineups, Dame was the only one with a negative +/-, which by default bestows upon him the Dud of the Day Award. Honorable mention goes to the Philadelphia Sixers starters where they averaged close to -20 apiece. If you had Maxey, Embiid, or Paul George in your lineup, you likely didn’t have a good day. With the drama around Jimmy Butler in Miami, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that Heat starters had a rough day at the office also.
With three (3) days remaining, we are down to the final 12 Fast Break participants who remain perfect. None of the remaining days are “easy” though so that number is likely to dwindle with each passing day. More importantly is what is happening in the next tier as participants with one or two losses are jockeying for position to land in the top 500 which at this point is a game of survival while placing at a decent level as standing will dictate final results in the inevitable tie. Put your best foot forward based on your remaining player options and manifest you a win today.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 11 requires five (5) players who will reject five or more shots and accumulate five or more steals, which means your lineup will need to average 1.0 BLK & 1.0 STL per player. There are a handful of defensive-minded players who can contribute in both categories and there are those who specialize in one category or another. For example, Wemby could single-handedly get you 5+ rebounds. Fortunately the thresholds are low, so you have flexibility in taking a moneyball approach to utilize specialists. Speaking of specialists, if you plan on starting Dyson Daniels, be sure to confirm his status before the game tips off as he missed his last game and isn’t guaranteed to play today. Now, let’s dig into the projections and stats to help you map out a viable strategy to earn a win today.
Little of Both: Jaren Jackson, Anthony Davis, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jakob Poeltl, Goga Bitadze
Shot Blockers: Victor Wembanyama, Anthony Davis, Goga Bitadze, Alexandre Sarr, Jaren Jackson, Jakob Poeltl, Dereck Lively, Kristaps Porzingis, Yves Missi, Zach Edey
Thieves: Dyson Daniels, Dejounte Murray, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Herbert Jones, Russell Westbrook, Jalen Suggs, Jordan Poole, Fred VanVleet, Jaren Jackson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chris Paul, Donovan Mitchell, Cason Wallace, Alex Caruso, Nikola Jokic, LaMelo Ball, Jamal Murray, Josh Hart, Alperen Sengun, DeMar DeRozan, Jalen Johnson, OG Anunoby, Anthony Davis, Scottie Barnes, Trae Young, Ausar Thompson, Desmond Bane, Jaylen Brown, Darius Garland
Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: J. Jackson (68%), G. Bitadze (38%), O. Anunoby (34%), E. Mobley (33%), D. Daniels (27)
Looking Ahead:
Tomorrow, 50 points in the paint and 12 offensive rebounds are the two objectives and there are 18 teams in action
Objectives (after today): OREB, AST-TO, PIP
Considerations:
Twelve (12) teams have the least number of games remaining (1)
The rest have two (2) games remaining
Boston, LA Lakers, and Oklahoma City are playing the tail end of a back-to-back
Dallas’s last game of this run is today
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected blocks and steals according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Run 6 Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 250 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit
Milestone Reward: Reach 3, 6, 9, or 13 wins and each tier earns you a pack
3 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
6 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
9 wins: Fast Break pack
13 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 500 overall
1st Place: $5,000 Top Shot Credit
2nd Place: $1,000 Top Shot Credit
3rd Place: $500 Top Shot Credit
4-500th: $5-25 Top Shot Credit
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 01/03/2025)
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 6 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Jalen Williams contributed a +33 and I was on track for a big win…but then Paul George & Tyrese Maxey combined for -50 and my hopes were dashed. Stuck at 6 wins with three to play. Winning out is the only way to nine. Day 11, let’s go.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.
Projected Blocks
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
Projected Steals
Projected BLK & STL
NBA Fast Break Grid
Support us by:
Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
Following us on Twitter/X: @TomeCollective and @WittyCollector
Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
Be a holder of the Tome Society Collection on flowty.io which will be updated to reflect the updated branding; there will be some exciting perks for holders (information will come soon)
January 2025 Promotions (3):
Send any rare NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for a month access to tome+.
Send any legendary NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for lifetime access to tome+.
Be a paid subscriber as of tome+ as of January 31, 2025 and you’ll be airdropped a random serial from the updated Tome Collective Collection on flowty.
