NBA Fast Break Historic | Run 3 | Day 2
Today’s Objective(s): 20 Assists & 8 Three Pointers Made
Overview:
The start to the third ever Historic NBA Fast Break went according to plan for 68% of collectors as they earned a win to kick off this series. Dominique Wilkins dominated the field goal day as he shot 17 for 28, but since he was not in the top five players utilized, he is your honorary Stud of the Day. Allen Iverson, however, was in the top five and he went 12 for 27 from the field which bumped the win % from the 30% range to the upper 60s. With his performance, he is your Fast Break Stud of the Day. Blake Griffin struggled mightily as he shot 10% from the field as he went 2 for 20. Considering he was the 5th most utilized player, he is your Fast Break Dud of the Day.
Based on the average scores across most games, there was a clear adjustment to the algorithm driving the stats for each game and we’re seeing a higher overall scoring output. Even still, we felt more confident in leaning on Run 2 data until tomorrow to guide you to a more reliable option. Keep in mind scores and stats will post 10 minutes after the stated game start time, so you have a small window of opportunity to swap players as needed.
Tome+ members: the dedicated data article for NBA Fast Break Historical edition includes the full data set of the 150 active players’ career average in the Historical mode, their progressive series average, and top offenses and top defenses.
Overview:
Day: 2 of 10
Objective(s): 20 Assists & 8 Three Pointers Made (4.0 AST & 1.6 3PM)
Top Player Options:
Little of both: (based on Run 2 data)
S Tier (averaged 6.0+ AST & 2.0+ 3PM): Chauncey Billups, Dennis Scott, Jason Williams, Lou Williams
A Tier (averaged 4.0+ AST & 1.6+ 3PM): Ricky Rubio, JJ Redick, Mike Bibby, Mark Price, Tim Hardaway, Stephon Marbury, Baron Davis, Austin Rivers, Glen Rice, Brandon Roy, Michael Finley
Distributors: (based on Run 2 data)
S Tier (averaged 7.0+ AST): Mike Bibby, Tim Hardaway, Sam Cassell, Ricky Rubio, Stephon Marbury, Shaun Livingston
A Tier (averaged 6.0-6.9 AST): Jason Kidd, Jose Calderon, Jason Williams, Ty Lawson, Spud Webb, Muggsy Bogues, Maurice Cheeks, Jameer Nelson, Deron Williams, Lou Williams, Chauncey Billups, Toni Kukoc
Outside Snipers: (based on Run 2 data)
S Tier (averaged 3.0+ 3PM): Kemba Walker, Manu Ginobili
A Tier (averaged 2.0-2.9 3PM): Ben Gordon, Chauncey Billups, Kyle Korver, Dennis Scott, JJ Redick, Danilo Gallinari, Gilbert Arenas, Mike Miller, Eddie Jones, Dan Majerle, Michael Redd, Rashard Lewis, Jason Williams, Lou Williams, Mark Price, Baron Davis, Chuck Person, Allan Houston, Shane Battier, Ray Allen, Trevor Ariza, Austin Rivers, Morris Peterson, Joe Johnson, Vince Carter, Peja Stojakovic
Top Five (5) Players in Pro Lineups: J. Kidd (62%) | K. Walker (61%) | D. Williams (51%) | J. Wall (47%) | B. Davis (46%)
Upcoming Fast Break Objectives:
Next Objective (tomorrow): 3 Blocks & 5 Steals (0.6 BLK & 1.0 STL)
Remaining Objectives (after today):
3x: REB
2x: BLK, STL, OREB, PTS, FGM
1x: FGA, AST, 3PM
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected assists and three pointers made according to nbatopshot.com and aggregated data by Tome Collective, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on season averages, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the single data point is used to stack rank the players as there are no reliable projections for simulated games.
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Top Player Options for Fast Break:
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: nbatopshot.com & tomecollective.com, 2025.
Projected Assists
Projected Three Pointers Made
Projected AST & 3PM
NBA Fast Break Grid
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