NBA Fast Break Historic | Run 2 | Day 1
Today’s Objective(s): 10 Three Pointers Made & 20 Three Point Attempts
Overview:
Today marks the first day of the next historical run. Lineups are slightly different than they were in the previous run and the algorithm has been updated, so team averages from Run 1 will not be reliable. With each passing day, though, we’ll begin to see how the daily stats vary.
With that said, we will reset our averages data to accommodate for lineup changes and to properly track results & extrapolate potential results for this new run. Using career averages will be our only baseline for Day 1, which is what we’re using as our basis for player rankings.
Tome+ members: the dedicated data article for NBA Fast Break Historical edition includes the full data set of the 150 active players’ career average in the Historical mode, their progressive series average, and top offenses and top defenses.
Overview:
Day: 1 of 10
Objective(s): 10 Three Pointers Made & 20 Three Point Attempts (2.0 3PM & 5.0 3PA)
Top Player Options:
Outside Snipers (career):
S Tier (career 2.0+ average): Ray Allen, Kemba Walker, Peja Stojakovic, JJ Redick, Kyle Korver
A Tier (averaging 1.5-1.9): Gilbert Arenas, Jason Richardson, Chauncey Billups, Danilo Gallinari, Dennis Scott, Tim Hardaway, Danny Granger, Jamal Crawford, Michael Redd, Rashard Lewis, Allan Houston, Baron Davis, Ben Gordon, Eddie Jones, Glen Rice, Mike Bibby, Paul Pierce, Antoine Walker, Jason Williams, Joe Johnson, Kevin Martin, Mike Miller, Vince Carter
Outside Snipers (Run 1):
Averaged 5.0+ 3PM in Run 1: Chauncey Billups, Derek Fisher, Dan Majerle, Gordon Hayward, Manu Ginobili, Danny Granger, Dennis Scott, Ray Allen, Andrea Bargnani, JJ Redick, Mahmoud Abdul-Rauf, Chuck Person, Michael Redd, Gilbert Arenas, Ty Lawson, Kyle Korver, Dominique Wilkins, Danilo Gallinari, Jason Williams, Trevor Ariza, Jason Richardson, Josh Smith, Brandon Roy, Kemba Walker, Tim Hardaway, Eddie Jones, Jamal Crawford
Top Five (5) Players in Pro Lineups: K. Walker (73%) | J. Redick (67%) | R. Allen (62%) | K. Korver (60%) | J. Richardson (48%)
Upcoming Fast Break Objectives:
Objectives Remaining (after today):
3x: FGM
2x: AST, STL, REB, BLK, PTS, 3PM
1x: OREB, BLK, FGA
Next Objective (tomorrow): 25 Assists & 5 Steals (5.0 AST & 1.0 STL)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected three pointers made & three point attempts according to nbatopshot.com and aggregated data by Tome Collective, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on season averages, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the single data point is used to stack rank the players as there are no reliable projections for simulated games.
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Top Player Options for Fast Break:
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: nbatopshot.com & tomecollective.com, 2025.
Projected 3PM & 3PA
NBA Fast Break Grid
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