WNBA Fast Break Classic | Run 4 | Day 1
Today’s Objective(s): 7 Three Pointers Made & 20 Assists
Overview:
New Run, New Challenges
The countdown resets, and a fresh 11-day Fast Break run is underway—bringing with it a mix of new objectives, returning wrinkles, and familiar excitement. This run introduces higher daily thresholds on select days and the revival of objectives like free throws made and assists minus turnovers, which we haven’t yet seen in the WNBA series this season. For the Pro tier, the return of plus-minus (+/–) is sure to test strategy-minded collectors (mixed with some luck) and reward savvy plays.
Strategic Tip: Plan Around the Slim Days
While Day 1 offers abundant lineup flexibility with four games and a wide pool of active players, there are upcoming days with just two teams in action. Prioritize setting those lineups as you don’t want a limited player pool to derail your win probability.
Tome+ members should keep an eye out for the updated WNBA Fast Break Cheat Sheet, dropping by Day 2 to help navigate those tight roster calls.
Tonight’s Matchups: A Tale of Rebuilds, Resilience, and Rising Stars
Minnesota kicks off a daunting stretch—seven games in 14 days—that could shape their season. With only 44 games total on the calendar, how they weather this run will speak volumes. They start on the road in Washington, where Shakira Austin, Aaliyah Edwards, and company hope to hand the Lynx their second loss of the season.
In Chicago, the Sky host the Sparks in a clash between two franchises trying to claw out of the bottom tier. Every win counts for confidence and standings, especially when matched against teams equally searching for identity.
Atlanta visits Dallas, where the Wings—fresh off back-to-back victories and a close loss to the Mystics—will try to extend their momentum. But they’ll need to solve the Dream’s high-octane offense and handle a team that doesn’t take nights off.
Lastly, Indiana heads to Seattle. The Fever are coming off a loss against the Aces and are looking to regroup, but the Storm have already taken down New York, Vegas, Phoenix, and Minnesota this season. They’ve proven they can beat anyone, anywhere.
Let the Run Begin
With four games tipping off and full rosters to deploy, Day 1 is your chance to start strong and build momentum. With that said, let’s dive into today’s projections.
Today’s Objective(s):
WNBA Fast Break Day 1 requires five (5) players who will sink 7.0 or more three pointers and distribute 20.0 or more assists, which means each player will need to average 1.4 3PM & 4.0 AST. With this being a fresh run and there are four teams in action, you have plenty of options available to you. With ten (10) more days ahead, plan accordingly. This run will assuredly be more difficult than the last based on the objectives ahead.
Little of Both: Kelsey Plum, Caitlin Clark
Outside Snipers: Kelsey Plum, Rhyne Howard, Caitlin Clark, Kayla McBride, Allisha Gray, Arike Ogunbowale
Distributors: Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Plum, Skylar Diggins
Top Five (5) Players in Classic Lineups: K. Plum (81%), S. Diggins (80%), R. Howard (72%), C. Williams (59%), A. Gray (35%)
Upcoming Fast Break Objectives:
Objective Frequency (after today):
2x: FTM, PTS, 3PM, REB, FGM
1: STL, BLK, AST, PITP, OREB, AST-TO, FGA
Considerations:
Run 4 will span 11 days through July 7th
Minnesota has the most number of games this run (7)
Chicago, Connecticut, Phoenix, & Washington have the last number of games this run (4)
There are no games scheduled on June 30, July 2, & July 4
There are ten (10) teams in action on June 27, June 29, & July 3 (most flexibility; set lineups last)
There are only two (2) teams in action on June 28 & July 1 (least flexibility; set lineups first)
Washington’s last game is on Day 8 this series
Indiana & Los Angeles’s last game is on Day 9 this series
Dallas, Indiana, & Minnesota all have true back-to-backs scheduled this run
The dreaded AST-TO makes its first appearance on Day 10
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected Three Pointers Made & Assists according to Rotowire & WNBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, playoff average, and rest of playoffs projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, all active player stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Classic Run Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 200
Milestone Reward: 3, 7, & 11 Wins
Run Reward: Top 250
Additional Links & Resources:
nbatopshot.com/fastbreak - set your lineup
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices
Tome Collective’s WNBA Fast Break Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
New run, fresh lineups. We are in process of building this out, so check back to see our progress.
Top Player Options for Fast Break:
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & WNBA.com, 2025.
Projected Three Pointers Made
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
Projected Assists
Projected 3PM & AST
WNBA Fast Break Grid
It's essential to consider the opponents, recent performance, and any injury updates before finalizing your Fast Break lineup. Additionally, staying up to date on the latest news and adjusting your roster accordingly will enhance your chances of earning a win today.
WNBA Key Dates:
July 1: Commissioner’s Cup Final
July 17-21: WNBA All-Star Break
September 11: Regular Season Ends
September 14-October 17: WNBA Playoffs
Power Rankings (Week 5) & Notable Fast Break Players:
Minnesota Lynx (12-1) | Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams | Previous: 1st
New York Liberty (10-3) | Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu | Previous: 2nd
Phoenix Mercury (11-4) | Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas | Previous: 4th
Atlanta Dream (10-4) | Rhyne Howard, Brittney Griner | Previous: 3rd
Seattle Storm (9-5) | Skylar Diggins, Nneka Ogwumike | Previous: 5th
Golden State Valkyrie (7-6) | Tiffany Hayes, Julie Vanloo | Previous: 7th
Indiana Fever (6-7) | Caitlin Clark, Kelsey Mitchell | Previous: 6th
Las Vegas Aces (6-7) | A’ja Wilson, Jewell Loyd | Previous: 8th
Washington Mystics (6-8) | Brittney Sykes, Kiki Iriafen | Previous: 9th
Los Angeles Sparks (4-10) | Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby | Previous: 10th
Chicago Sky (3-10) | Angel Reese, Kamilla Cardoso | Previous: 11th
Dallas Wings (3-12) | Arike Ogunbowale, Paige Bueckers | Previous: 13th
Connecticut Sun (2-12) | Tina Charles, Marina Mabrey | Previous: 12th
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