NBA Fast Break Run 7 | Day 11
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 15 Three Pointers Made and 25 Three Point Attempts to earn your win.
Recap & Overview:
Going into Wednesday’s 11-game slate, Boston sat 2nd in the East with a 28-11 record and were playing a 9-31 Raptors team who sat 14th in the East. On a day where Field Goals Made were the primary objective, it made natural sense why Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum were two of the most utilized players. I think you know can tell where this is going - the Fast Break curse struck both JB and JT as they delivered 4 FGM & 5FGM respectively. If you played one of them, it likely stung but with a glimmer of hope depending on who else you played. If you played both, you pretty much sunk. Considering only 25% of Fast Break participants ended the day with a win, one or both of these Fast Break co-Duds of the Day likely contributed. Both LaMelo & Giannis contributed 11 FGM as they were two of the five most utilized players, so they are your Fast Break co-Studs of the Day. Honorable mentions go to Brunson (14 FGM) who battled Maxey (13 FGM) & the Sixers and won in overtime.
Like yesterday, there are two objectives today but it feels more like a single objective. Similar to yesterday, you will have little room for error to earn a win with today’s objective. The attempts are more a formality than hurdle, so your primary focus is curating a lineup who will make at least 15 three pointers - easier said than done considering there are only 10 teams in action.
The number of perfect records were cut by almost half as we are down to 52 (from 95 yesterday) which opens the door for any 1-loss Fast Breakers to sneak into the top 25 for a run-based reward. With four (4) days remaining in this run and with today’s challenging objective, anticipate the perfection to decrease further while the number of overall participants steadily rise (8,500+ so far). In order to reach the 11-win mark, you need at least 7 wins so far. With that in mind, let’s dive into today’s objectives.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 11 requires five (5) players who will make 15.0 or more three pointers and accumulate 25.0 or more three point attempts, which means your lineup will need to average 3.0 3PM & 5.0 3PA per player. Of the players in action, only seven (7) teams are projected the exceed the 3.0 3PM threshold needed per player to reach the 15.0 target.
Snipers: Anfernee Simons, Donovan Mitchell, Jordan Poole (see table for top 10)
Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: D. Mitchell (83%), M. Beasley (72%), N. Powell (57%), J. Poole (55%), A. Simons (55%)
Looking Ahead:
Tomorrow, 50 rebounds will be the single objective; there are 18 teams in action
Objectives Breakdown (after today): PTS, REB, AST, 3PM
Considerations:
Nine (9) teams have the least number of games remaining (1)
Portland & Washington have the most number of games remaining (3)
Houston & the LA Clippers are playing the tail end of a back-to-back
After today, 2 of the 3 remaining days have a single objective & 1 of 3 have two objectives
Charlotte, Dallas, Memphis, New Orleans, New York, Toronto, and Utah’s last game this run is on Day 12 (tomorrow)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected three pointers made & three point attempts according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Run 7 Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 25 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit
Milestone Reward: Reach 4, 7, 11, or 14 wins and each tier earns you a pack
4 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
7 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
11 wins: Fast Break pack
14 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 25 overall
1st Place: $5,000 Top Shot Credit
2nd Place: $2,500 Top Shot Credit
3rd Place: $1,000 Top Shot Credit
4-10th: $500 Top Shot Credit
11-25th: $250 Top Shot Credit
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 01/03/2025)
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 7 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
Remember at the beginning on this post you read about Fast Breakers who played both JB & JT and were likely sunk? That’s me. I’m in that mix. With yesterday’s loss, we are officially out of the running for our stretch goal but we a single win away from earning the mid tier reward which was the primary goal given the limitation to commons. If we can avoid a losing streak to end this series, that would be ideal. Day 11 is going to be dicey and I feel more confident about Day 12 or 13.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.
Projected 3PM & 3PA
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
NBA Fast Break Grid
Support us by:
Subscribing to our Newsletter to receive emails with Fast Break analysis
Following us on Twitter/X: @TomeCollective and @WittyCollector
Joining Tome+ for an enhanced versions of the Fast Break articles, All Day Prediction Game articles, additional resources, discounts, and future benefits
Be a holder of the Tome Society Collection on flowty.io which will be updated to reflect the updated branding; there will be some exciting perks for holders (information will come soon)
January 2025 Promotions (3):
Send any rare NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for a month access to tome+.
Send any legendary NBA or WNBA Top Shot moment to TS: TomeCollective for lifetime access to tome+.
Be a paid subscriber as of tome+ as of January 31, 2025 and you’ll be airdropped a random serial from the updated Tome Collective Collection on flowty.
