NBA Fast Break Run 7 | Day 7
Pick 5 Players who will combine for 5 Offensive Rebounds and 35 Points in the Paint to earn your win.
Recap & Overview:
With the Hornets-Clippers, Spurs-Lakers, and Rockets-Hawks games all being postponed due to a song of fire and ice, there were only four games on the slate yesterday, which limited an already limited player pool who could deliver 125 points. Without Tyler Herro’s big scoring output in the late game, the number of winners yesterday would have been a measly 3%, but that number rose to 11% with Herro’s 32 points. The highest scorer on the day though, who happen to also be the most used player, was Devin Booker who scored 34 points and earned the Fast Break Stud of the Day award. If, however, you played Anthony Edwards, Ja Morant, and/or RJ Barrett, your outcome wasn’t as positive. As none of the three scored more than 15 points, they collectively were named the Fast Break Duds of the Day.
As a result of a challenging day where about 600 participants earned a win, we are down to 101 perfect records (from 538 previously). Including today, there are eight (8) days left where we’ll see that number dwindle with each passing day. Day 7 looks to have a more positive result based on the objectives. Let’s dive into the projections and stats.
Today’s Objective(s):
Fast Break Day 7 requires five (5) players who will accumulate 5.0 or more offensive rebounds and score 35.0 or more points in the paint, which means your lineup will need to average 1.0 OREB & 7.0 PIP per player. As these two stats occur on the same end of the possession, players who are in position to gather an offensive rebound are often those who have a tendency to score close to the hoop, so these two stats are relatively correlated. This means there are many players who can deliver you both stat categories. Unlike yesterday, your lineup options are broad.
Little of Both: Nikola Jokic, Domantas Sabonis, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Zion Williamson, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jarrett Allen, Nikola Vucevic, Evan Mobley, Mark Williams, Joel Embiid, Pascal Siakam
(Offensive) Glass Cleaners: Domantas Sabonis, Dereck Lively, Nikola Jokic, Yves Missi, Walker Kessler, Mark Williams, Isaiah Hartenstein Jonas Valanciunas, Karl-Anthony Towns, Jarrett Allen, Goga Bitadze, Nikola Vucevic, Day'Ron Sharpe, Mason Plumlee, Nick Richards, Zion Williamson, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Evan Mobley, Kristaps Porzingis, Alexandre Sarr, Josh Hart, Keegan Murray ,Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre, Guerschon Yabusele, Bobby Portis, Myles Turner, Luke Kornet
Inside Scorers: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Nikola Jokic, Domantas Sabonis, Kevin Durant, DeMar DeRozan, De'Aaron Fox, Evan Mobley, Jaylen Brown, Jalen Williams, Nikola Vucevic, Paolo Banchero, Zion Williamson, Jarrett Allen, Karl-Anthony Towns, Joel Embiid, Jalen Brunson, Isaiah Hartenstein, Dereck Lively, Tyrese Maxey, Mark Williams, Jayson Tatum, Zach LaVine, Pascal Siakam, Darius Garland, Devin Booker, LaMelo Ball, Kyle Kuzma, CJ McCollum, Mikal Bridges
Top Five (5) Players in FB Lineups: D. Sabonis (79%), K. Towns (53%), J. Allen (51), I. Hartenstein (45%), N. Jokic (35%)
Looking Ahead:
Tomorrow, 5 blocks and 5 assists will be the two objectives; there are 12 teams in action
Objectives Breakdown (after today):
2x: REB, AST, 3PM
1x: FGA, FGM, STL, BLK, 3PA, PTS
Considerations:
Nine (9) teams have the least number of games remaining (3)
Six (6) teams have the most number of games remaining (5)
Phoenix & Utah are playing the tail end of a back-to-back
After today, 2 of the 7 remaining days have a single objective & 5 of 7 have two objectives
Charlotte, Dallas, Memphis, New Orleans, New York, Toronto, and Utah’s last game this run is on Day 12
Day 11 has the least number of teams in action (10)
Statistical Approach:
Top players in projected offensive rebounds & points in the paint according to Rotowire & NBA.com, which is available in the table(s) below. Overall rank is based on daily projections, last 10 games, and rest of season projections, which is stack ranked amongst peers for each objective. When there is a single objective, the three data points are still used to stack rank the players vs. ranking solely on projections. For tome+ subscribers, projected rest-of-season stats are available in the provided data file. Omission of certain players would be based on injuries at the time of data pull.
Run 7 Rewards:
Daily Reward: Top 25 each day will receive varying amounts of Top Shot Credit
Milestone Reward: Reach 4, 7, 11, or 14 wins and each tier earns you a pack
4 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
7 wins: One (1) Grail Seeker pack
11 wins: Fast Break pack
14 wins: Perfect Fast Break pack
Run Reward: Place in the top 25 overall
1st Place: $5,000 Top Shot Credit
2nd Place: $2,500 Top Shot Credit
3rd Place: $1,000 Top Shot Credit
4-10th: $500 Top Shot Credit
11-25th: $250 Top Shot Credit
Additional Resources:
Flowty.io - find/rent moments for your Fast Break roster
Fast Break Lobby - see all expired and open runs
OwnTheMoment Fast Break Planner - connect your collection & map out your lineups
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Cheat Sheet - plan your series using data for each day & objective (updated for Run 7)
Tome+ Exclusive: Witty’s Player Targets Guide - players organized by Fast Break utility & rare/legendary prices (as of 01/03/2025)
Tome Collective’s Fast Break Run 7 Line-Up (Commons Only Challenge):
Many Fast Break participants do not have an extensive collection of rare or legendary moments, so they are limited to single use commons. Even with a limited lineup, participants have found a way to reach the maximum rewards. Follow along as the Tome Collective account participates in Fast Break without using any player more than once - in both our success and failures.
With 3 of 7 games postponed, the probability of a win today seemed unlikely. Layer on top of that poor performances from Ant, Ja, and RJ Barrett, and you had a recipe for disaster. We had two of those players in our lineup, but came with 8 points of sneaking into the win column. Unfortunately, Herro and Book’s great performances could not overcome Ant & Ja. We press forward and look for our 5th win today. 7 wins is the primary goal, but 11 wins is the stretch goal. Our room for error is down to one game though.
The top players for today’s Fast Break objective(s). Source: Rotowire & NBA.com, 2024.
Projected Offensive Rebounds
Interested in daily sortable and filterable data tables with all players included (beyond the top 10)? Join Tome+
Projected Points in the Paint
Projected OREB & PIP
NBA Fast Break Grid
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